prof. dr. M.P. (Marcel) Timmer

Profile

Marcel Timmer is Professor of Growth and Development Economics at the University of Groningen and deputy-director at the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

• He has led a large research program titled “Modelling Global Value Chains: a new framework to study trade, jobs and income inequality in an interdependent world” funded by the Dutch Science Foundation (NWO, VICI scheme, 2015-2020). This is building on major international research projects including the EU Growth and Productivity project (EU KLEMS, 2003-2008) and the World Input-output Database project (WIOD, 2009-2012). These projects have developed new databases, accounting frameworks and models to increase our understanding of the socio-economic consequences of increasing global integration.
• He has been a consultant and advisor for various organisations including the OECD, the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the Dutch and Japanese Ministries of Economic Affairs, and Statistics Netherlands.  
• He has extensively published in books, national and international journals, including the American Economic Review, Review of Economics and Statistics, Economic Journal, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Journal of Development Economics, Economic Policy and the Journal of Economic History.

Publications

Hagen Kruse, Marcel P Timmer, Gaaitzen J de Vries, Xianjia Ye. (2024) "The Occupation Content of Trade", The World Bank Economic Review; lhae051, https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhae051

Stefan Pahl, Marcel P Timmer, Reitze Gouma, Pieter J Woltjer. (2022) "Jobs and Productivity Growth in Global Value Chains: New Evidence for Twenty-five Low- and Middle-Income Countries", The World Bank Economic Review, 36(3), 670–686. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhac003

Buckley, P.J., Strange, R., Timmer, M.P. and de Vries, G.J., (2022). "Rent appropriation in global value chains: The past, present, and future of intangible assets." Global Strategy Journal, 12(4): 679-696, https://doi.org/10.1002/gsj.1438

Timmer, M.P., Los, B., Stehrer, R. and de Vries, G.J. (2021), "Supply Chain Fragmentation and the Global Trade Elasticity: A New Accounting Framework." IMF Economic Review, 69, 656–680. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-021-00134-8.

Reijnders, Laurie S. M., Marcel P. Timmer and Xianjia Ye (2021), “Labour Demand in Global Value Chains: Is There a Bias against Unskilled Work?”, The World Economy,  vol. 44: 2547– 2571 https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13092

Timmer, M.P. and S. Pahl (2021), “Structural Change in Exports. From Product to Functional Specialization in Trade”, Chapter 15 in: Foster-Mcgregor, Neil, L. Alcorta, A. Szirmai and B. Verspagen (eds), New Perspectives on Structural Change. Causes and Consequences of Structural Change in the Global Economy, Oxford University Press, DOI:10.1093/oso/9780198850113.003.0015.

Chen Wen, Bart Los and Marcel Timmer (2021), “Factor Incomes in Global Value Chains: The Role of Intangibles”, Chapter 10 in: Corrado, Haskel, Miranda and Sichel (eds), Measuring and Accounting for Innovation in the Twenty-First Century. University of Chicago Press, NBER, p.373-401.

Buckley, P. J., Strange, R., Timmer, M. P., & de Vries, G. J. (2020). Catching-up in the global factory: Analysis and policy implications. Journal of International Business Policy, pp.1-28. https://doi.org/10.1057/s42214-020-00047-9

Timmer, Marcel P. and Xianjia Ye (2020), “Accounting for growth and productivity in global value chains”, Chapter 18 in Barbara M. Fraumeni (ed), Measuring Economic Growth and Productivity, Academic Press Elsevier, pp. 413-426.

Pahl, Stefan & Marcel P. Timmer (2019), "Do Global Value Chains Enhance Economic Upgrading? A Long View", The Journal of Development Studies, 56:9, 1683-1705, DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2019.1702159 

Pahl, Stefan & Marcel P. Timmer (2019) "Patterns of vertical specialisation in trade: long-run evidence for 91 countries." Review of World Economics, 155, 459–486. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-019-00352-3

Timmer, Marcel P, Sébastien Miroudot, Gaaitzen J de Vries (2019), "Functional specialisation in trade", Journal of Economic Geography, 19(1), lead article pp. 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lby056

IJtsma, P., Levell, P., Los, B. and Timmer, M.P. (2018), "The UK's Participation in Global Value Chains and Its Implications for Post‐Brexit Trade Policy", Fiscal Studies, 39: 651-683. 

Los, B., & Timmer, M. P. (2018). “Measuring bilateral exports of value added: a unified framework.” NBER Working paper 24896. Chapter in: Ahmad, Moulton, Richardson, and van de Ven (eds), The Challenges of Globalization in the Measurement of National Accounts. University of Chicago Press, NBER.

Cavallo, Alberto, W. Erwin Diewert, Robert C. Feenstra, Robert Inklaar, and Marcel P. Timmer. (2018)."Using Online Prices for Measuring Real Consumption across Countries." AEA Papers and Proceedings, 108: 483-87.

Los, B., M. P. Timmer and G. J. de Vries (2016), “Tracing Value-Added and Double Counting in Gross Exports: Comment”, American Economic Review, 106(7), 1958-66.

Feenstra, Robert C.; Inklaar, Robert and Timmer, Marcel P.(2015), “The Next Generation of the Penn World Table”, American Economic Review 105(10), 3150-3182.

Timmer, M.P., A.A. Erumban, B. Los, R. Stehrer and G.J. de Vries (2014), "Slicing Up Global Value Chains", Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 28(2), pp. 99-118.

Timmer, M.P., J. Veenstra and J. Woltjer (2016),” The Yankees of Europe? A New View on Technology and Productivity in German Manufacturing in the Early Twentieth Century", Journal of Economic History, 76(3), 874-908.

Timmer, Marcel P., Erik Dietzenbacher, Bart Los, Robert Stehrer and Gaaitzen J. de Vries (2015),“An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input-Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production”. Review of International Economics 23(3), 575-605

Los, B., M.P. Timmer and G.J. de Vries (2015), “Globalization or Regionalization? A New Approach to Measure International Fragmentation of Value Chains”, Journal of Regional Science, 55(1), 66-92.

Timmer, Marcel P., Bart Los, Robert Stehrer and Gaaitzen J. de Vries (2013), “Fragmentation, Incomes and Jobs. An Analysis of European Competitiveness.” Economic Policy, vol. 28(76),  pp. 613–661.

O’Mahony, M. and M.P. Timmer (2009), “Output, Input and Productivity Measures at the Industry Level: the EU KLEMS Database”, Economic Journal, 119(538), pp. 374-403.

Feenstra, R., A. Heston, M.P. Timmer and H. Deng (2009), “Estimating Real Production and Expenditures Across Nations: A Proposal for Improving the Penn World Tables”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(1), pp. 201-12.

Ark, van B., M. O’Mahony and M.P. Timmer (2008), “The Productivity Gap between Europe and the U.S.: Trends and Causes”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 22(1), pp.  25–44.

Los, B. and M.P. Timmer (2005), “The ‘Appropriate Technology’ Explanation of Productivity Growth Differentials: An Empirical Approach”, Journal of Development Economics, 77(2), 517-31.

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Curriculum Vitae